I wonder if there are simulators that estimate the win probability in Monopoly, based on a given game-state. A game-state include the entire situation: properties, monopolies, houses, hotels, cash and the location of each player.
Example: I won a game after giving an opponent the green monopoly in exchange for the maroons. I won the game because I had $1200 cash (and quickly built three houses on each) while my opponent had only $200 cash. (Consider the remaining properties to be "evenly" distributed, including two railroads and one utility for each person.) I would guess that the outcome might very well have been different if my opponent had the $1200, and I the $200.
Probabilities in Monopoly isn’t a simulator, but it is a calculator that calculates the theoretical value of properties given various states of building development. The main thing that is missing is the role of players’ cash positions in win chances, because more cash means that you can develop faster than your opponents.
Is there a simulator that can estimate win chances given the game state?
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